Licensing and frontier AI · updated October 2026

Does anyone need a license to build superintelligence?

Not as of October 2026. No jurisdiction requires a general government license before a frontier AI model is trained. China’s pre-launch filing system comes closest. The EU, California, and New York rely on notification and transparency duties instead, and the United States controls frontier AI mainly through export licenses for chips.

“Licensing” an AI model can mean a government permit, a registration or filing, a notice to a regulator, an export license, or the private license that governs a model’s weights and training data. This site covers all of them and links its sources, using the primary text wherever it can be opened.

1025
FLOP: the EU’s systemic-risk line
1026
Operations: California, New York and South Korea
5
Jurisdictions with binding frontier rules
0
That require a government license before training
Compare

How do the frontier AI laws compare?

Apart from China’s pre-launch filing, they regulate disclosure more than permission. Pick a jurisdiction to see its trigger, core duty and maximum penalty.

European Union (AI Act)

In force; enforcement from Aug 2, 2026

Trigger
>1025 FLOP (presumption) or designation
Core duty
Notify within 2 weeks; evaluations, risk mitigation, incident reports, cybersecurity
Pre-approval?
No
Max penalty
3% of global turnover or €15M

EU AI Act duties in detail →

California (SB 53)

In force Jan 1, 2026

Trigger
>1026 operations; $500M revenue tier
Core duty
Publish framework and transparency reports; incidents within 15 days
Pre-approval?
No
Max penalty
$1M per violation

SB 53 in detail →

New York (RAISE Act)

Takes effect Jan 1, 2027

Trigger
>1026 operations; $500M revenue tier
Core duty
Framework, reports, disclosure statement and regulator fee; incidents within 72 hours
Pre-approval?
No
Max penalty
$1M first, $3M later

The RAISE Act in detail →

China

In force since Aug 15, 2023

Trigger
Public-facing generative AI service with public-opinion attributes
Core duty
Security assessment and filing with the CAC
Pre-approval?
Filing and security assessment before public launch; no formal license
Max penalty
Varies by statute

China’s filing system in detail →

South Korea (AI Basic Act)

In force Jan 22, 2026

Trigger
≥1026 FLOP for safety duties
Core duty
Lifecycle safety measures; local representative
Pre-approval?
No
Max penalty
KRW 30M administrative fines

South Korea in detail →

United Kingdom

No AI bill

Trigger
None
Core duty
Voluntary testing with the AI Security Institute
Pre-approval?
No
Max penalty
None

The UK position in detail →

In force Takes effect later No binding statute Status as of October 2026. Sources for every row are in frontier AI laws. General information, not legal advice.
Interactive

Which compute lines would a training run cross?

Most frontier AI rules decide who is covered by counting the operations used to train a model. Enter a model’s size and training data, or its hardware and run time, to see where it lands. Open the full calculator.

This is a rough estimate. Estimates by outsiders can be off by a factor of two or more, and the laws put the duty on the developer, who knows its own numbers. California counts fine-tuning and later modifications toward the total. New York and California add a revenue test, so the heaviest duties fall on companies above $500 million.

Crossing a binding line triggers notice, documentation or safety duties. The 1023 line is non-binding guidance, and S. 2938 is a bill, not law. None of the enacted laws listed requires a government license before training a frontier model. Thresholds and statuses are stated as of October 2026. General information, not legal advice. Sources and method: compute thresholds.

The interactive calculator needs JavaScript. The method is simple: training compute ≈ 6 × parameters × training tokens. The EU’s systemic-risk line is 1025 floating-point operations; California, New York and South Korea use 1026. The full table is in compute thresholds.

Guides

Read the guides

7 guides to both meanings of the word: the rules governments apply to the most capable models, and the licenses that govern models and data. Each states its facts as of the date at the top.

Overview

AI licensing explained

The six things “licensing” an AI model can mean, and which ones actually exist in law today.

Government rules

Frontier AI laws compared

The EU, California, New York, China, South Korea, the UK and the U.S. federal government, side by side.

Thresholds

Compute thresholds

Why lawmakers count floating-point operations, how the count is estimated, and where the method breaks down.

Export controls

AI export controls

The one place the U.S. already requires permission for frontier AI: export licenses for chips and, on paper, model weights.

Model licenses

Open-weight model licenses

Apache 2.0, MIT, the Llama license, Gemma terms and OpenRAIL, compared clause by clause.

Data licenses

Training data licensing

The public content deals behind AI models and the court rulings that set their price.

Policy debate

Should superintelligence need a license?

Both sides of the licensing debate, with named sources for the main arguments.

Where did the idea of licensing AI come from?

Much of the current debate traces to May 2023, when OpenAI’s chief executive told a US Senate subcommittee that a new agency should license AI efforts above a capability threshold. Since then, lawmakers have mostly chosen lighter tools: compute thresholds that trigger reporting, safety frameworks that must be published, and incident reports. The policy debate guide sets out the arguments on both sides.

What this site is and is not

It is a free, sourced reference. It does not lobby for or against any rule, it is not written by a law firm, and it is not legal advice.